Friday, June 22, 2012

The global addiction of central banking stimulus – Contagion spreads to Spain as 10-year edges to 7 percent. Life in a perpetual quantitative easing world.

MyBudget360
June 22, 2012



Financial markets around the world are now desperately dependent on central bank stimulus.  The US recovery is largely dependent on the Federal Reservefunneling loans into the system via the quantitative easing process and other archaic forms of money development.  It is interesting how the Greek stock market rallied this week merely on the notion that pro-bailout parties will be elected and thus allows even more debt to be injected into the system.  Yet this does not solve the core problem that too much debt is swimming in the system.  Central banks do not create any real tangible product in the economy.  They have the incredible power to inject resources into banks and thus create “money” in the real economy.  Yet this only happens if banks lend this out to consumers instead of using the funds to speculate in complicated global money making schemes.  The whipsaw behavior of the market highlights the massive addiction to central banking stimulus we are in.
The Euro crisis reaches a critical stage
With record high unemployment in Spain and downgrades hitting, the Spanish 10-year bond crossed a troubling threshold this week hitting 7 percent:
spain 10 year bond
This is a critical stage here especially with Greek elections approaching this weekend.  But the problem is with any addiction, at some point you have to keep taking more and more of the drug simply to get the same impact:
“(SF Gate) The “markets are telling us that they’re unconvinced by the bank bailout and that the next step is that the government will have to concede, capitulate, and go for a sovereign loan,” James Stewart, head of macro research at AX Markets in London, said in an interview with Mark Barton on Bloomberg Television’s “Countdown.” “That seems to me quite likely, and even now I think it’s moving on from Spain to Italy.”
Spain’s 10-year yield climbed 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, to 6.92 percent at 5 p.m. London time after rising to 6.998 percent, the highest since the euro was introduced in 1999. The 5.85 percent bond due in January 2022 fell 1.07, or 10.70 euros per 1,000-euro face amount, to 92.64. The yield has jumped 70 basis points this week.”
The contagion is spreading across Europe.  The politics are complicated but desire for more and more bailouts are running short:
“(Reuters) But German Chancellor Angela Merkel rebuffed pressure from EU partners and the United States for Europe’s most powerful economy to underwrite debt or guarantee bank deposits in the single currency area.”
Read the entire article 

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