What Investors Don't Know about Europe

New York Times
October 10, 2011


“THE direct exposure of the U.S. financial system to the countries under the most pressure in Europe is very modest.” 



That’s what Timothy F. Geithner, the Treasury secretary, told Congress last week, trying to allay concerns that American banks might be hurt by the escalating crisis in Europe.
Investors have heard such assurances before, and they have learned to take them with a barrel of salt. Remember how the subprime crisis was going to be “contained”?
As the situation in Europe deteriorates, our own financial institutions are coming under growing scrutiny from investors. American banks have made loans to European ones. Some have also written credit insurance on the debt of European institutions and troubled nations like Greece. So if a default were to occur, some banks here would be on the hook.
Last week, officials at Morgan Stanley worked overtime trying to calm investors about the bank’s exposure to Europe. The company had $39 billion in exposure to French banks at the end of last year, not counting hedges and collateral. (Some analysts argue that the amount today is far lower, and at the end of the week, Morgan Stanley appeared to have relieved investor fears.)

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